The cost of the Federal Space Program (FCP) for 2016 – 2015 reduced by 855 billion rubles. This was stated by the head of the Federal Space Agency (Roscosmos), Igor Komarov. The program’s budget will be increased to 2 trillion rubles.
The decision to reduce funding agency head explained including “economic parameters.” In this regard, the decision to postpone the project to create a super-heavy launch vehicle orbital group of satellites should be kept to a minimum, and the number of starts ships “Progress” reduced from four to three per year. And decrease the amount of development work. However, plans are still listed manned flight around the moon.
The Russian cosmonauts have landed on earth satellite by 2029. For industry experts announced plans to cut funding PCF came as no surprise. It is clear that the economic crisis would necessarily sacrifice something. The industry negatively influenced Western sanctions and conflict with Ukraine, including the Order of the President Poroshenko a total ban on the export of goods to Russia for defense purposes, which include components manned machinery. However, out of the equation so far is the situation with the service launch “Zenith”, which launch from Baikonur is scheduled for July this year. Recently Kiev turned to Roscosmos requesting resumption of cooperation on this project.
In general, the Russian space industry will be extremely difficult to pass on import substitution.
According to the candidate of technical sciences Vadim Lukashevich, today Komarova statement on the reduction of the PCF indicates that Roskosmos has problems with planning. That the program is untenable and divorced from reality, it was clear as early as last year, when the imposed sanctions, and oil fell sharply. The federal program is accepted for 10 years, but the reality is that there is a possibility for reliable planning only within six months, a maximum of 12 months.
The situation in Ukraine is not stabilized, and Russia is threatening another round of sanctions. At the same time today to make predictions about the fall of GDP in 2015 to 3.4%. This suggests that the space program after six months can expect another revision.
“Unfortunately, in the current situation we can not make predictions for the future. In the meantime, it is the economy determines what items the federal space the program will eventually executed. That is, we need a very flexible document that would set priorities. For example, if the economic situation starts to deteriorate, the lower-priority programs could be ruled out immediately, if improved, on the contrary, to include. You can make different graphics – pessimistic, optimistic, crisis, neutral. In the current economic situation, hard paper the next 10 years can not be considered wealthy. Branches need a flexible document, and everything else – monkey work “- said Lukashevich.
According to the expert, it is clear that in the next 2-3 years, the situation Ukraine does not improve, and therefore, in terms of sanctions, Russia will have to live for a long time. In addition, ahead of the elections to the State Duma and presidential elections. In such circumstances, to plan the economy is extremely difficult, so it is difficult to plan and development of space industry.
The first vice president of the Northwest Organization Cosmonautics Federation of Russia Oleg Mukhin believes that reducing the number of launches of spacecraft “Progress” (which supply food, water and fuel to the ISS) should not cause concern. The expert said that for this purpose are already used foreign transport shuttles. Supply station will not worsen. Reducing the number of satellites in orbit, too, can be an indicator, he said. The bottom line must be assigned tasks that are able to perform such a device. Today, a large amount of work can be carried out and the satellite very small.
A positive aspect Mukhin said and what has been decided not to abandon manned flight around the moon. Turtles on a spaceship “Zond 5″ circled the moon in 1968. So developments in domestic experts enough. The main thing to ensure that the flight took place not in the automatic mode, but under the control of man.
Most of the expert concerned about the situation with the construction of a new cosmodrome “East” in the Amur region. The first launch of this site is to be implemented by the end of 2015. However, the disturbing news about the hunger strike of builders, as well as cash embezzlement say that the program is not all right.
As for cooperation with the United States in space exploration, the Mukhin inclined to think that it will be continued . “International co-operation will continue. Including the United States. Where do they get to us. Even now, Americans can not fly without us on the ISS. Yes, at some time will have to reduce the cost of space exploration, but the development of space exploration is not stop. Without it, humanity simply can not exist “, – said the expert.
The head of the laboratory space rocket simulation” Meteor “Sergei Garezin draws attention to the training. Today the situation is such that the number of young people who would like to connect his life with the cosmos, all the time is reduced. Interrupted the continuity of generations. Meanwhile, the PCF training issues almost no place. According Garezina, Russia can come to the fact that it will launch site and the missile, but the astronauts will remain.
Dmitry Petritsky
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